Robust discrimination between long-range dependence and a change in mean

  • In this article we introduce a robust to outliers Wilcoxon change-point testing procedure, for distinguishing between short-range dependent time series with a change in mean at unknown time and stationary long-range dependent time series. We establish the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis for \(\it {L}_1\) near epoch dependent processes and show its consistency under the alternative. The Wilcoxon-type testing procedure similarly as the CUSUM-type testing procedure (of Berkes I., Horváth L., Kokoszka P. and Shao Q. 2006. \(\it Ann.Statist.\) 34:1140–1165), requires estimation of the location of a possible change-point, and then using pre- and post-break subsamples to discriminate between short and long-range dependence. A simulation study examines the empirical size and power of the Wilcoxon-type testing procedure in standard cases and with disturbances by outliers. It shows that in standard cases the Wilcoxon-type testing procedure behaves equally well as the CUSUM-type testing procedure but outperforms it in presence of outliers. We also apply both testing procedure to hydrologic data.

Download full text files

Export metadata

Additional Services

Share in Twitter Search Google Scholar
Metadaten
Author:Carina GerstenbergerORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hbz:294-99949
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12554
Parent Title (English):Journal of time series analysis
Publisher:Wiley
Place of publication:Hoboken, New Jersey
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Date of Publication (online):2023/06/23
Date of first Publication:2020/07/15
Publishing Institution:Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universitätsbibliothek
Tag:Wilcoxon change-point test statistic; change-point; long-range dependence; near epoch dependence
Volume:42
Issue:1
First Page:34
Last Page:62
Note:
Dieser Beitrag ist auf Grund des DEAL-Wiley-Vertrages frei zugänglich.
Institutes/Facilities:Lehrstuhl für Mathematik XII, Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und ihre Anwendungen
Dewey Decimal Classification:Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / Mathematik
open_access (DINI-Set):open_access
faculties:Fakultät für Mathematik
Licence (English):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY 4.0 - Attribution 4.0 International